Business

Small Business Optimism Dips to 98.7, Still Above Its Long-Term Average

• From trending topic: U.S. Small Business Optimism Dips Slightly in August

Small Business Optimism Dips to 98.7, Still Above Its Long-Term Average

Summary

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index fell to 98.7 in August from 99.8 in July, according to reporting and market commentary on the release. Liz Ann Sonders noted that the reading remained above the long-term average of 98.0 and below a 99.3 estimate.

The Wall Street Journal reported that uncertainty remained elevated and expectations for better conditions declined. Sonders also reported that quality of labor remained the most frequently cited problem, although its share fell four percentage points from July, with inflation and taxes tied for second. The following are interpretations of those figures, not additional survey findings.

Common Perspectives

Above the historical average

The 98.7 reading remains above the cited 98.0 average. This comparison provides perspective on the monthly fall, although being above average does not establish that every part of the survey improved.

A softer monthly reading

The index fell 1.1 points and missed the cited estimate. The reported decline in expectations gives a reason to examine forward-looking components, without treating one month as a settled trend.

A changing labor concern

Labor quality remained the leading reported concern even as fewer respondents selected it. The figures alone do not explain why its share fell or establish what happened to hiring and wages.

A Different View

The headline index and the ranking of business problems answer different questions. Following both can distinguish changes in overall sentiment from shifts in which constraints owners consider most important.

Conclusion

Subsequent readings and actual business activity will help establish whether August’s decline persists.